{"id":1944,"date":"2024-04-02T19:40:43","date_gmt":"2024-04-03T00:40:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/?p=1944"},"modified":"2024-04-02T19:40:43","modified_gmt":"2024-04-03T00:40:43","slug":"democracy-at-risk-how-ai-is-shaping-election-outcomes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/2024\/04\/02\/democracy-at-risk-how-ai-is-shaping-election-outcomes\/","title":{"rendered":"Democracy at Risk: How AI is Shaping Election Outcomes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By: Avi Samy<\/p>\n<p><b>Generative AI<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Generative AI, an advancement in artificial intelligence (AI), represents a leap in machine learning capabilities. Unlike traditional AI models which solve specific tasks while relying on predefined rules, generative AI algorithms generate new content. Examples of traditional AI include voice assistants like Siri or Alexa and even recommendation engines on websites and other platforms. Generative AI can create stories, images, emails, etc. based on a provided prompt. Trained on vast datasets, generative AI can learn complex patterns and relationships (Martineau, 2023). Companies like OpenAI, Google, and Bing utilize generative AI (see Figure 1). Leveraging this knowledge, generative AI creates realistic content in the form of text, images, and videos, resembling human-generated material. This innovation offers possibilities for creative expression, content generation, and problem-solving in many different fields. However, its proliferation raises ethical and societal concerns, especially regarding potential misuse in election campaigns, threatening electoral integrity. Robust safeguards and ethical guidelines are urgently needed to protect democratic principles and public trust.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1954 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193226-300x300.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193226-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193226-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193226.png 359w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Figure 1<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Some of the biggest Generative AI Companies<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Source: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/iot-analytics.com\/leading-generative-ai-companies\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">IOT<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>A Watershed Election Year<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The year 2024 emerges as a pivotal election year for the world, marked by unprecedented global challenges and transformative shifts in geopolitical dynamics. About 70 countries, which account for nearly half the world\u2019s total population, are preparing to have national elections this year (Simon, 2024). As shown in Figure 2 below, an expected 2 billion people are expected to vote, including in significant regions such as the United States, India, and much of Europe. Against the backdrop of climate change, debates on human rights, and ongoing wars, the outcomes of elections in key nations will significantly shape the trajectory of international relations, economic policies, and collective efforts to address pressing global issues. The choices made by voters and leaders in the 2024 elections carry profound implications for the future of democracy, human rights, and global stability.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1957 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193325-300x273.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"273\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193325-300x273.png 300w, https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193325.png 481w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Figure 2<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">2024 Election Statistics<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Source: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/chart\/31604\/countries-where-a-national-election-is-was-held-in-2024\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Statista<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Unveiling the Deception: AI\u2019s Misuse<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">US President Joe Biden\u2019s voice was heard across the state of New Hampshire, just days before the state\u2019s presidential primary. Campaigning efforts were beginning to ramp up as candidates looked to cement their cases with voters across the states. There was just one problem: the President was instructing people not to bother voting. After a security analysis, a definitive conclusion was reached. It wasn\u2019t the President speaking. After listening to the recording a few times, it was quite obvious that the voice was generated by AI (Mcmillan, 2024).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Similar instances were seen in 2023, with a fake video of Biden declaring a national draft to aid Ukraine\u2019s war effort as well as a deepfake depicting Senator Elizabeth Warren claiming that Republican voters should be barred from voting. Recent advancements in technology have resulted in images and videos that appear real, online bots that pose as humans, and several other problems. Social media companies currently have their hands full, addressing questions on their content, cyberbullying and harassment, the spread of misinformation, online safety, and a host of other issues. Add AI\u2019s role in politics and society to that growing list, and it is clear that there is a severe issue at hand. The corporations claim that policies are in place to prevent the use of AI in deceptive ways, but the extent to which they are enforced remains unclear (Ingram, 2024).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1959 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193428-300x208.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193428-300x208.png 300w, https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193428.png 464w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Figure 3<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Despite the debunking of the robocall, many remain concerned about the security of elections<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Source: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/biden-robocall-deepfake-elevenlabs\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Wired<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>An Emerging Issue<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>\u00a0<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">AI could synthesize pictures of people who haven\u2019t existed for years, and now a single prompt can be used to generate multiple realistic images. Deepfake audio (the use of artificial intelligence to create convincing sentences of specific people has also grown significantly as AI now requires less training to clone one\u2019s voice (Panditharatne, 2023). Social media companies have grappled with questions on political content for years. Strict monitoring of political discourse online was apparent in 2020 in response to claims about Russian interference in what was the upcoming presidential election. Fears of a potential repeat of 2016 where Russians employed hundreds and possessed millions of dollars in an attempt to ensure a victory for then-candidate Donald Trump (Mcmillan, 2024). In a survey of around 1,000 voters, 70% believed that Russia interfered, as seen in Figure 4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In recent years companies have loosened many restrictions that were once in place. After Elon Musk acquired Twitter (now called \u201cX\u201d) in 2022, many suspended accounts were reinstated and many workers were laid off due to the company\u2019s financial issues. YouTube halted their removal of videos claiming fraud was present in past elections, citing that restrictions on political speech would lead to new concerns. In addition, Meta allowed political ads questioning the legitimacy of Biden\u2019s 2020 victory over Trump to run on their platforms.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1961 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193521-300x292.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"292\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193521-300x292.png 300w, https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193521.png 395w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Figure 4<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The majority of people from each political party believed interference was seen in 2016<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Source: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/politics\/most-americans-think-trump-isnt-tough-enough-on-russia-new-poll-says\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">PBS<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Countering AI Manipulation<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Since the creation of ChatGPT, Bard, and other generative AI models, our ways of obtaining information have changed dramatically. AI has been used to produce articles at faster rates and lower prices, despite the tendency for it to produce misinformation (Panditharatne, 2023). Efforts to fight this and AI\u2019s impact on politics are appearing, as several weeks ago twenty tech companies utilizing AI signed a pact to prevent their technology from impacting the upcoming election (Ingram, 2024). This includes tech giants such as Microsoft, OpenAI, Google, and Meta, some of which are seen in Figure 5. The main reason for the creation of this misinformation is due to the lack of regulation and action taken by lawmakers. Still, many are left unsatisfied that these companies didn\u2019t place a full ban on AI having the ability to impact election content. Meta has stated that it would attempt to label AI-made images, although several complications exist when trying to do this, especially when considering the inclusion of audio and video (Ingram, 2024).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1963 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193602-300x202.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"202\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193602-300x202.png 300w, https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193602-210x140.png 210w, https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/files\/2024\/04\/Screenshot-2024-04-02-193602.png 529w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Figure 5<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Google are part of the accord to combat AI<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Source: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/slate.com\/technology\/2020\/07\/which-tech-ceo-has-the-best-office-mark-zuckerberg-jeff-bezos-sundar-pichai-or-tim-cook.html\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Slate<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Future Implications<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The advent of generative AI presents profound challenges, particularly in the realm of electoral politics. As the world approaches a crucial election year in 2024, the misuse of AI-generated content poses a significant threat to the integrity and fairness of democratic processes worldwide. While efforts to combat this threat are underway, including initiatives by tech companies to self-regulate AI usage, the lack of comprehensive regulation and enforcement remains a pressing concern. As society grapples with the implications of AI in politics and society, it becomes increasingly imperative to establish robust safeguards and ethical guidelines to mitigate the risks and uphold the principles of democracy. Only through collective action and responsible stewardship of AI technology can we safeguard the integrity of elections and preserve public trust in democratic institutions for generations to come.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>References and Sources<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ingram, D. (2024, February 16). Microsoft, Google and Meta pledge to prevent AI election interference. NBC News. Retrieved March 7, 2024, from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/tech\/tech-news\/microsoft-google-meta-pledge-action-ai-election-risks-rcna138909\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/tech\/tech-news\/microsoft-google-meta-pledge-action-ai-election-risks-rcna138909<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Martineau, K. (2024, February 14). What is generative AI? IBM Research Blog. Retrieved March 7, 2024, from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/research.ibm.com\/blog\/what-is-generative-AI\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/research.ibm.com\/blog\/what-is-generative-AI<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">McMillan, R. (2024, February 15). New Era of AI deepfakes complicates 2024 elections. New Era of AI Deepfakes Complicates 2024 Elections. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/ai\/new-era-of-ai-deepfakes-complicates-2024-elections-aa529b9e\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/tech\/ai\/new-era-of-ai-deepfakes-complicates-2024-elections-aa529b9e<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Panditharatne, M. (2023, June 13). How AI puts elections at risk \u2014 and the needed safeguards. Brennan Center for Justice. Retrieved March 7, 2024, from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brennancenter.org\/our-work\/analysis-opinion\/how-ai-puts-elections-risk-and-needed-safeguards?gclid=Cj0KCQjw-pyqBhDmARIsAKd9XIM7iPmtI-3Y8V22nZ4C-3dStTVRI8Xu1FhBKqlwBhaAyvmqGUFwuaIaAq4uEALw_wcB&amp;ms=gad_ai%20voting%20system_665268346943_8628877148_150749630603\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/www.brennancenter.org\/our-work\/analysis-opinion\/how-ai-puts-elections-risk-and-needed-safeguards?gclid=Cj0KCQjw-pyqBhDmARIsAKd9XIM7iPmtI-3Y8V22nZ4C-3dStTVRI8Xu1FhBKqlwBhaAyvmqGUFwuaIaAq4uEALw_wcB&amp;ms=gad_ai%20voting%20system_665268346943_8628877148_150749630603<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Simon, S. (2024, January 20). 2024 is a big election year around the globe. Will democracy win? NPR. Retrieved March 7, 2024, from <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2024\/01\/20\/1225795005\/2024-is-a-big-election-year-around-the-globe-will-democracy-win\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2024\/01\/20\/1225795005\/2024-is-a-big-election-year-around-the-globe-will-democracy-win<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By: Avi Samy Generative AI Generative AI, an advancement in artificial intelligence (AI), represents a leap in machine learning capabilities. Unlike traditional AI models which solve specific tasks while relying on predefined rules, generative AI algorithms generate new content. Examples of traditional AI include voice<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1020,"featured_media":1949,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technology"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1944","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1020"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1944"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1944\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1969,"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1944\/revisions\/1969"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1949"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1944"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1944"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.imsa.edu\/hadron\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1944"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}